Critical Care
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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Critical Care's content profile, based on 14 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Tomasi, J.; Xu, H.; Zhang, L.; Carey, C. E.; Schoenberger, M.; Yates, D. P.; Casas, J.
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Background: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a known risk factor for several cardiovascular-related diseases established from multiple genetic and observational studies. However, the underlying mechanisms mediating the effects of Lp(a) levels on cardiovascular disease risk and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) are unclear. The aim of this study was to identify proteins downstream of Lp(a) using mendelian randomization (MR) - a genetic causal inference approach. Methods: A two-sample MR was performed by initially identifying Lp(a) genetic instruments based on data from genome wide association studies (GWAS) of Lp(a) blood concentrations. These instruments were then tested for association with proteins from proteomic pQTL data (Olink from UK Biobank, 2940 proteins and SomaScan from deCODE, 4907 proteins). Results: A total of 521 proteins associated with Lp(a) were identified. Using pathway enrichment analysis, the following MACE-relevant pathways were identified comprising a total of 91 Lp(a) downstream proteins: oxidized phospholipid-related, chemotaxis of immune cells and endothelial cell activation, pro-inflammatory monocyte activation, neutrophil activity, coagulation, and lipid metabolism. Conclusion: The results suggest that the influence of Lp(a) treatments is primarily through modifying inflammation rather than lipid-lowering, thus providing insight into the mechanistic framework which mediates the effects of elevated Lp(a) on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.
Ren, J.; VA Million Veteran Program, ; Liu, C.; Hui, Q.; Rahafrooz, M.; Kosik, N. M.; Urak, K.; Moser, J.; Muralidhar, S.; Pereira, A.; Cho, K.; Gaziano, J. M.; Wilson, P. W. F.; Million Veteran Program, V.; Phillips, L. S.; Sun, Y.; Joseph, J.
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Background: Heart failure (HF) is a major and growing public health problem, and prior studies support a meaningful genetic contribution to HF susceptibility. Clinically, HF is commonly categorized into the major clinical sub-types of HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), which differ in pathophysiology and clinical profiles. However, previous genome-wide association studies have focused on autosomal variation and have routinely excluded the X chromosome, leaving X-linked genetic contributions to HF and its subtypes under-characterized. Methods: We performed X-chromosome wide association study (XWAS) utilizing directly genotyped data from 590,568 Million Veteran Program participants, including 90,694 HF cases across European, African, Hispanic, and Asian Americans. Sex- and ancestry-stratified logistic regression was used with XWAS quality control measures, adjusting for age and population structure, followed by fixed-effects multi-ancestry meta-analysis. Functional annotation, gene-based testing, fine-mapping, and colocalization were performed. We replicated genetic associations with all-cause HF in the UK Biobank. Results: In the multi-ancestry meta-analysis, we identified five X-chromosome-wide significant loci for all-cause HF, five for HFrEF, and one locus for HFpEF in males. No loci reached significance in female-specific analyses. In sex-combined analyses, we identified six loci for all-cause HF and four for HFrEF. The strongest and most emphasized signals mapped to genes were BRWD3, FHL1, and CHRDL1. Ancestry-specific analyses revealed additional loci, including NDP and WDR44 in African ancestry and PHF8 in Hispanic ancestry. One locus, BRWD3, was replicated in UK Biobank HF cohort. Integrated post-GWAS analyses (fine-mapping, colocalization and pleiotropy trait association studies) reinforced the biological plausibility of the X-linked signals. Conclusions: This multi-ancestry, sex-stratified XWAS identifies X-linked genetic contributions to HF and its subtypes and highlights the role of X-chromosome in heart failure pathogenesis.
Ying, C.; Du, Y.; Wu, J.; Zou, P.; Zhang, L.; Li, Y.; Wang, Y. j.
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Objective: To describe the clinical characteristics of term neonates with neonatal bacterial meningitis (NBM) and explore the association between different pathogens and imaging complications, providing clinical evidence for early identification and individualized management. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 531 term neonates diagnosed with NBM admitted to the Capital Institute of Pediatrics from 2013 to 2025. Demographics, clinical manifestations, laboratory parameters, etiological results, imaging complications and treatment measures were collected. Patients were divided into favorable/adverse discharge outcome groups and pathogen-positive/negative groups. Statistical analyses were performed using appropriate tests, and Cramers V coefficient was used to analyze the association between pathogens and imaging complications. Results: (1) The most common clinical manifestations were abnormal body temperature (79.85%), altered consciousness (55.18%) and jaundice (46.52%). CSF/blood culture was positive in 133 cases (25.05%), with Escherichia coli (27.07%), group B streptococcus (17.29%) and Staphylococcus species (16.54%) as predominant pathogens. The overall incidence of imaging complications was 22.22%, mainly hydrocephalus (5.84%), subdural effusion (4.90%) and encephalomalacia (2.64%). (2) Adverse discharge outcomes occurred in 107 cases (20.15%). Compared with the favorable group, the adverse group had higher incidences of convulsions, altered consciousness, anterior fontanelle bulging, abnormal muscle tone and primitive reflexes (all P<0.001), more obvious laboratory abnormalities (higher CRP, CSF leukocytes and protein, lower CSF glucose, all P<0.05), higher culture positive rates and greater need for adjuvant therapy (all P<0.001). (3) Pathogen-positive patients had higher imaging complication rates. Gram-negative infections were associated with higher hydrocephalus and subdural effusion rates, while Gram-positive infections had higher brain abscess risk. Specifically, Escherichia coli correlated with hydrocephalus and subdural effusion; group B streptococcus with cerebral infarction and encephalomalacia; LM with intracranial hemorrhage and brain abscess; negative cultures correlated with no imaging complications (all P<0.05). Conclusion: Term NBM neonates have non-specific manifestations, mainly abnormal body temperature and altered consciousness. Predominant pathogens are Escherichia coli, group B streptococcus and Staphylococcus species, with hydrocephalus and subdural effusion as common imaging complications. Adverse outcomes are associated with severe symptoms, obvious laboratory abnormalities and higher pathogen positivity. Specific pathogens correlate with distinct imaging complications.
Zhang, H.; Dromard, E.; Tsang, K. C. H.; Guemes, A.; Guo, Z.; Baldeweg, S. E.; Li, K.
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Non-invasive glucose monitoring (NIGM) has been pursued for decades, yet no device has achieved regulatory approval despite numerous studies reporting high accuracy. This systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 studies (38 cohorts: 20 NIGM, 18 iCGM; N = 1,693) investigated methodological factors underlying this accuracy-regulatory gap. The pooled Mean Absolute Relative Difference (MARD) for NIGM (10.21%; 95% CI: 8.73-11.69%) showed no significant difference from iCGM (11.82%; 95% CI: 10.36-13.29%; p = 0.13), with extreme heterogeneity (I^2 = 95.2%). Meta-regression revealed that study duration was the strongest predictor of NIGM accuracy ({beta} = 3.94, p < 0.001), with MARD degrading from 8.7% in short-term to 15.2% in long-term studies, while iCGM accuracy remained stable. Only 15% of NIGM cohorts validated in the hypoglycemia range, compared to 89% of iCGM studies (p < 0.001). These findings suggest that reported NIGM accuracy is substantially influenced by methodological asymmetries.
Ciudin Mihai, A.; Baker, J. L.; Belancic, A.; Busetto, L.; Dicker, D.; Fabryova, L.; Fruhbeck, G.; Goossens, G. H.; Gordon, J.; Monami, M.; Sbraccia, P.; Martinez Tellez, B.; Yumuk, V.; McGowan, B.
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This updated systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of obesity management medications (OMMs) in terms of reducing body weight and obesity related complications. Medline and Embase were searched up to 21 November 2025 for randomized controlled trials comparing OMMs versus placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary endpoint was percentage total body weight loss (TBWL%) at the end of the study. Secondary endpoints were TBWL% at 1, 2 and 3 years, anthropometric, metabolic, mental health and quality of life outcomes, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, remission of obesity related complications, serious adverse events and all cause mortality. Sixty six RCTs (66 comparisons) were identified: orlistat (22), semaglutide (18), liraglutide (11), tirzepatide (8), naltrexone/bupropion (5) and phentermine/topiramate (2), enrolling 63,909 patients (34,861 and 29,048 with active compound and placebo, respectively). All OMMs showed significantly greater TBWL% versus placebo; tirzepatide and semaglutide exceeded 10% TBWL and showed the most favourable glycaemic effects. Semaglutide reduced major adverse cardiovascular events and all cause mortality. In dedicated complication specific trials, semaglutide and tirzepatide showed benefit on heart failure related outcomes; tirzepatide was associated with improved obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome and semaglutide with knee osteoarthritis pain remission. Tirzepatide and semaglutide were associated with improvements in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis remission, and semaglutide with improvement in liver fibrosis. No OMMs were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events. These updated results reinforce the need to individualize OMMs selection according to weight loss efficacy, complication profile and safety.
Candia-Rivera, D.; Carrion-Falgarona, S.; Chavez, M.; de Vico Fallani, F.; Charpier, S.; Mahon, S.
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BackgroundGlobal cerebral anoxia is a leading cause of death and resuscitated patients often remained persistently affected by neurological deficits. While previous studies suggest that brain-heart electrophysiological interactions may predict severity and prognosis after hypoxic brain injury coma, little is known about the brain-heart dynamics at near-death. Gaining insight into these mechanisms is crucial for developing targeted interventions in critical conditions. ResultsUsing a rodent model of reversible systemic anoxia (n=29, male and female rats), we investigated whether brain-heart interactions during the asphyxia onset could predict the return of brain electrical activities after resuscitation. Electrophysiological recordings confirmed that cerebral activity declines following asphyxia, coinciding with increased heart rate variability. Notably, the strong coupling between cardiac parasympathetic activity and high-frequency brain activity in the somatosensory cortex and hippocampus serves as a key predictor of a favorable outcome. ConclusionOur study underscores the involvement of the brain-heart axis mechanisms in the physiology of dying and the potential prognostic significance of these mechanisms, paving the way for translational research into critical care, based on new characterizations of cardiac reflexes and brain-heart interactions.
Desgraupes, S.; Boireau, S.; Khalil, M.; Aouinti, S.; Nisole, S.; Bollore, K.; Barbaria, W.; Barzaghi, F.; Dilena, R.; Boon, M.; Lunsing, R. J.; Tuaillon, E.; Westerholm-Ormio, M.; Deiva, K.; Bakker, D. P.; Kuijpers, T. W.; Yeh, E. A.; Lim, M.; Picot, M. C.; Meyer, P.; Arhel, N. J.
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Background: Acute necrotizing encephalopathy (ANE) is a rare and severe neurologic complication of viral infection in children, thought to result from a hyperacute cytokine storm causing blood-brain barrier disruption and central nervous system injury. Despite characteristic clinical and radiologic features, ANE remains poorly understood at the molecular level, with no validated biomarkers or targeted therapies. We aimed to determine whether genetic predisposition to ANE due to RANBP2 variants is associated with a distinct immunologic signature. Methods: We conducted a prospective biological study of familial ANE (ANE1, NCT06731790). We included 23 heterozygous carriers of the RANBP2 c.1754C>T (p.Thr585Met) variant from 10 families, and 28 noncarriers (median age, 40 years [range, 4-72]). Soluble immune mediators, transcriptomic analyses, multiparameter flow cytometry, and cellular imaging were analysed in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and monocytes. Baseline and resiquimod stimulated immune responses were analysed within the same statistical model, with genetic status as the primary predictor. Findings: The RANBP2 Thr585Met mutation was associated with a dysregulated inflammatory phenotype characterized by reduced basal mediator production and exaggerated TNF- responses following stimulation (estimated difference, +2,098 pg/mL; 95% CI, 1,121 to 3,076; P=0.0001). Transcriptomic and flow cytometry analyses showed broad reprogramming of myeloid cells with enrichment of CXCR3-high CD14-high subsets. Expansion of these populations was associated with increased long-term disease burden. The RANBP2 variant was the only independent factor associated this inflammatory phenotype. Interpretation: RANBP2-associated ANE is characterised by a distinct immunological signature that can inform disease stratification and support the development of targeted immunotherapeutic approaches.
Gjertsen, M.; Yoon, W.; Afshar, M.; Temte, B.; Leding, B.; Halliday, S.; Bradley, K.; Kim, J.; Mitchell, J.; Sanders, A. K.; Croxford, E. L.; Caskey, J.; Churpek, M. M.; Mayampurath, A.; Gao, Y.; Miller, T.; Kruser, J. M.
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Importance: Physicians routinely prognosticate to guide care delivery and shared decision making, particularly when caring for patients with critical illnesses. Yet, these physician estimates are prone to inaccuracy and uncertainty. Artificial intelligence, including large language models (LLMs), show promise in supporting or improving this prognostication. However, the performance of contemporary LLMs in prognosticating for the heterogeneous population of critically ill patients remains poorly understood. Objective: To characterize and compare the performance of LLMs and physicians when predicting 6-month mortality for hospitalized adults who survived critical illness. Design: Embedded mixed methods study with elicitation and comparison of prognostic estimates and reasoning from LLMs and practicing physicians. Setting: The publicly available, deidentified Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV v2.2 dataset. Participants: We randomly selected 100 hospitalizations of adult survivors of critical illness. Four contemporary LLMs (Open AI GPT-4o, o3- and o4-mini, and DeepSeek-R1) and 7 physicians provided independent prognostic estimates for each case (1,100 total estimates; 400 LLM and 700 physician). Main outcomes and measures: For each case, LLMs and physicians used the hospital discharge summary and demographics to predict 6-month mortality (yes/no) and provide their reasoning (free text). We assessed prognostic performance using accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity, and used inductive, qualitative content analysis to characterize reasonings. Results: Mean physician accuracy for predicting mortality was 70.1% (95% CI 63.7-76.4%), with sensitivity of 59.7% (95% CI 50.6-68.8%) and specificity of 80.6% (95% CI 71.7-88.2%). The top-performing LLM (OpenAI o4-mini) accuracy was 78.0% (95% CI 70.0-86.0%), with sensitivity of 80.0% (95% CI 67.4-90.2%) and specificity of 76.0% (95% CI 63.3-88.0%). The difference between mean physician and top-performing LLM accuracy was not statistically significant (p = 0.5). Qualitative analysis revealed similar patterns in LLM and physician expressed reasoning, except that physicians regularly and explicitly reported uncertainty while LLMs did not. Conclusion and Relevance: In this study, LLMs and physicians achieved comparable, moderate performance in predicting 6-month mortality after critical illness, with similar patterns in expressed reasoning. Our findings suggest LLMs could be used to support prognostication in clinical practice but also raise safety concerns due to the lack of LLM uncertainty expression.
Nabunje, R.; Guillen-Guio, B.; Hernandez-Beeftink, T.; Joof, E.; Leavy, O. C.; International IPF Genetics Consortium, ; Maher, T. M.; Molyneux, P.; Noth, I.; Urrutia, A.; Aburto, M.; Flores, C.; Jenkins, R. G.; Wain, L. V.; Allen, R. J.
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Genome-wide association studies of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have identified 35 common genetic risk loci associated with IPF susceptibility. In this study, we evaluated the effects of the reported variants in clinically curated non-European individuals. Despite limited sample sizes, we observed partial replication, limited transferability of some variants and evidence of ancestry-specific effects. The MUC5B promoter variant rs35705950 emerged as the dominant and most consistent signal across ancestries. Our findings highlight the need for larger, well-characterised studies in understudied populations to support robust discovery and translation.
Zhang, R.
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Aims The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is effective for detecting post-load dysglycemia, but it is burdensome and therefore not routinely used. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers a convenient way to capture real-world glucose patterns, yet it remains unclear whether CGM-derived metrics reflect OGTT-defined dysglycemia. We therefore aimed to evaluate CGM-derived and clinical metrics for predicting OGTT 2-hour glucose, classifying OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and assessing day-to-day repeatability. Methods We analyzed a cohort with paired free-living CGM and OGTT. Multiple CGM-derived metrics and clinical measures were compared for prediction of OGTT 2-hour glucose, classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and day-to-day stability. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by leave-one-out (LOO) R^2, and day-to-day repeatability by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Results The glycemic persistence index (GPI), a metric integrating the magnitude and duration of glycemic elevation, was the strongest single predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose (LOO R^2 = 0.439). GPI also showed strong day-to-day repeatability (ICC = 0.665) and ranked first on a combined prediction-stability score. For classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, HbA1c had a slightly higher AUC than GPI, but GPI plus HbA1c performed best overall, indicating complementary information. Conclusions GPI was a strong predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose and showed a favorable balance between predictive performance and day-to-day stability, supporting its potential utility as a CGM-derived marker of dysglycemia.
Martin, C. M.; henderson, i.; Campbell, D.; Stockman, K.
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Background: The instability-plasticity framework proposes that multimorbidity trajectories periodically enter instability phases that are vulnerable to escalation but also potentially modifiable through relational intervention. Whether such phases commonly resolve without acute care, or predominantly progress to hospitalisation, has not been quantified at scale. Objective: To quantify instability window outcomes across a longitudinal monitoring cohort; to test whether the characteristics distinguishing admitted from resolved windows reflect within-patient trajectory dynamics or between-patient severity; and to characterise which patient-reported and operator-rated signals reliably precede admission, using both a curated pilot sub-cohort and the full monitoring cohort with an explicit cross-cohort comparison. Methods: Two complementary analyses were conducted on data from the MonashWatch Patient Journey Record (PaJR) relational telehealth system. Instability windows were identified algorithmically (>=2 consecutive calls with Total_Alerts >=3) across the full longitudinal dataset (16,383 calls, 244 patients, 2.5 years) and classified by linkage to ED and hospital admission data. Window characteristics were compared at window, patient, and paired within-patient levels. Pre-admission signal cascades were analysed in two configurations: a curated pilot sub-cohort (64 patients, 280 calls, +/-10-day window, 103 admissions, December 2016-September 2017) and the full monitoring cohort (175 patients, 1,180 pre-admission calls, +/-14-day window, December 2016-July 2019). A three-way cross-cohort comparison decomposed differences between the two configurations into pipeline and population effects. Results: 621 instability windows were identified across 157 patients (64% of the monitored cohort). 67.3% resolved without hospital admission or ED attendance, a rate stable across alert thresholds 1-5. In paired within-patient analysis (n = 70), duration in days (p = 0.002) and multi-domain breadth (p < 0.001) distinguished admitted from resolved windows; alert intensity did not. In the pilot sub-cohort, patient-reported illness prognosis (Q21) was the dominant pre-admission signal (GEE beta = +0.058, AUC = 0.647, p-BH = 0.018). This finding did not replicate in the full cohort: Q21 was non-significant (GEE beta = -0.008, p = 0.154, AUC = 0.507). Cross-cohort analysis identified selective curation of the pilot sub-cohort as the primary explanation. In the full cohort, six signals escalated significantly before admission after Benjamini-Hochberg correction: total alerts, health impairment (Q26), red alerts, self-rated health (Q3), patient concerns (Q1), and operator concern (Q34). Health impairment achieved the highest individual AUC (0.605) and showed the longest pre-admission lead. No individual signal exceeded AUC 0.61. Conclusions: Two thirds of instability phases resolve without hospitalisation, providing direct empirical support for trajectory plasticity as a clinically frequent phenomenon. Within the same patient, persistence - in duration and in the consistency of high-severity multi-domain flagging across calls - distinguishes trajectories that tip into admission from those that resolve. The Q21 signal reversal between cohorts illustrates how selective curation can produce compelling but non-replicable findings in monitoring research. In the full population, objective alert signals and operator judgement, rather than patient illness prognosis, carry the pre-admission signal
Gunnarsson, C.; Ellegard, R.; Ahsberg, J.; huda, s.; Andersson, J.; Dworeck, C. F.; Glaser, N.; Erlinge, D.; Loghman, H.; Johnston, N.; Mannila, M.; Pagonis, C.; Ravn-Fischer, A.; Rydberg, E.; Welen Schef, K.; Tornvall, P.; Sederholm Lawesson, S.; Swahn, E. E.
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Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a well-recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome particularly among women without conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Increasing evidence indicates a genetic contribution; however, the underlying genetic architecture of SCAD remains insufficiently understood. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of rare variants in previously reported SCAD associated genes and to explore the potential presence of novel genetic alterations in well-characterised Swedish patients with SCAD. Methods The study comprised 201 patients enrolled in SweSCAD, a national project examining the clinical characteristics, aetiology, and outcomes of SCAD. All individuals had a confirmed diagnosis based on invasive coronary angiography. Comprehensive exome sequencing was performed to identify rare variants contributing to disease susceptibility. Results Genetic variants that have been associated with SCAD according to current clinical genetics practice for variant reporting were identified in approximately 4 % of patients. In addition, rare potentially relevant variants were detected in almost 60 % of patients in genes associated with vascular integrity and vascular remodelling. Conclusion This study supports SCAD as a genetically complex arteriopathy, driven by rare high?impact variants together with broader polygenic susceptibility. Variants in collagen, vascular extracellular matrix, and oestrogen?responsive pathways provide biologically plausible links to female?predominant disease. Although the diagnostic yield of clearly actionable variants is modest, these findings support broader genomic evaluation beyond overt syndromic presentations and highlight the need for larger integrative genomic and functional studies to refine risk stratification and management.
Sreekanth, J.; Salgado-Baez, E.; Edel, A.; Gruenewald, E.; Piper, S. K.; Spies, C.; Balzer, F.; Boie, S. D.
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Routine ICU data offers valuable insights into daily physiological rhythms. While traditional methods assume these cycles maintain fixed periods and amplitudes, their inherent variability requires dynamic estimation of instantaneous trends. Wavelet transform effectively resolves circadian oscillations, especially for frequently measured vital parameters. We present novel extensions to the Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) power spectral analysis to better detect and segment subtle temporal patterns. Using this approach, we uncover hidden circadian patterns in cardiovascular vitals such as Heart Rate (HR) and Mean Blood Pressure (MBP) measured over five days in a retrospective cohort of 855 ICU patients. By quantifying non-stationary rhythms, we identified diurnal and semi-diurnal oscillations varying in period and power according to delirium and deep sedation. Notably, HR exhibits a clear diurnal and semi-diurnal rhythm when delirium is absent. Overall, our framework supports the CWT as a powerful tool for analyzing complex physiological signals, particularly vital signs. Crucially, our findings suggest that cardiovascular rhythm disruption can be associated with ICU-related delirium and deep sedation.
Dolin, P.; Keogh, K. A.; Rowell, J.; Edmonds, C.; Kielar, D.; Meyers, J.; Esterberg, E.; Nham, T.; Chen, S. Y.
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Purpose: We evaluated healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs in patients with eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA). Methods: Patients with newly diagnosed EGPA (2017--2021), [≥]12 months' pre-diagnosis health plan enrollment, and [≥]1 inpatient or [≥]2 outpatient claims with an EGPA diagnosis were included. Follow-up was from EGPA diagnosis until disenrollment or database end. HCRU and health insurer payment costs during follow-up were compared with those for matched cohorts of general insured patients without EGPA (comparison A) and without EGPA but with severe uncontrolled asthma (SUA; comparison B). Results: In comparison A, all-cause HCRU was higher in the EGPA cohort (n = 213) versus matched patients (n = 779) for all clinical encounters/pharmacy claim types; annualized, mean total all-cause costs were 16-fold higher ($117,563/patient) versus matched patients ($7,520/patient). In comparison B, all-cause HCRU was higher for the EGPA cohort (n = 182) versus the matched SUA cohort (n = 640) for all clinical encounters/pharmacy claim types, with 5-fold higher mean total all-cause costs ($118,127/patient vs $22,286/patient). In both EGPA cohorts, HCRU and associated costs increased between the baseline and follow-up periods. Conclusions: These findings highlight the need for more effective treatments to reduce the clinical and economic burden of EGPA.
Neely, M.; Wojdyla, D. M.; Hong, H.; Wang, P.; Anderson, M. R.; Arroyo, K.; Belperio, J.; Benvenuto, L.; Budev, M.; Combs, M.; Dhillon, G.; Hsu, J. Y.; Kalman, L.; Martinu, T.; McDyer, J.; Oyster, M.; Pandya, K.; Reynolds, J. M.; Rim, J. G.; Roe, D. W.; Shah, P. D.; Singer, J. P.; Singer, L.; Snyder, L. P.; Tsuang, W.; Weigt, S. S.; Christie, J. D.; Palmer, S. M.; Todd, J.
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Background: We aimed to identify data-driven FEV1 trajectory phenotypes post-chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), relate these phenotypes to patient factors and future graft loss, and develop a classification approach for prospective patients. Methods: We studied adult first lung recipients with probable CLAD from two prospective multicenter cohorts: CTOT-20 (n=206) and LTOG (n=1418). FEV1 trajectories over the first nine months post-CLAD were characterized using joint latent class mixed models, jointly modelling time-to-graft loss to account for informative censoring. Models were fit independently in both cohorts and also only among LTOG bilateral recipients. A classification and regression tree (CART) model was derived in LTOG bilateral recipients and applied to CTOT-20 bilateral recipients. Findings: Four distinct early FEV1 trajectory classes were identified in CTOT-20, with large differences in nine month graft loss (72.3%, 31.1%, 2.2%, 0%). In LTOG, similar trajectory patterns were reproduced, with an additional class demonstrating early post-CLAD FEV1 improvement. Among bilateral recipients, trajectory classes showed a clear risk gradient, including a high-risk class with 100% graft loss and a low-risk class with no early graft loss. A CART model incorporating clinical and spirometric variables demonstrated good discrimination in LTOG bilateral recipients (multiclass AUC 0.85) and consistent class assignment and trajectory patterns when applied to CTOT-20. Interpretation: We identified reproducible, clinically meaningful early post-CLAD FEV1 trajectory phenotypes with differential graft loss risk. These phenotypes and a pragmatic classification tool may support risk stratification, trial enrichment, and improved prognostication for patients and clinicians.
Mossler, K.; D'Orazio, E.; Hall, K.; Osann, K.; Kimonis, V.; Quintero-Rivera, F.
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Objective The decline of the perinatal demise rate is slowing and demises are often unexplained. Significant research has been done regarding diagnostic yield and genetic causes of demise, but little is known about how Geneticist involvement impacts outcomes. The goal of the study was to evaluate post-mortem genetic testing practices and effects of the geneticists involvement. Methods Retrospective data from 111 perinatal demise cases was examined, including rates of prenatal genetic counseling, post-delivery genetics consult, genetic testing, and autopsy investigation. Results In this cohort 54% received genetic testing and 25% received a genetics consult. When compared to those without, cases with genetic specialist involvement were associated with significant increases in testing uptake (p=0.007), diagnostic yield (p<0.001), and patient education (p<0.001). Second trimester stillbirths and those with fewer ultrasound (US) abnormalities were less likely to receive genetic testing (both p values <0.001) and consults (p<0.001, p=0.020). Conclusion Though it was not possible to avoid ascertainment bias, this data demonstrates that geneticist involvement correlates with a higher rate of testing, greater diagnostic yield, and more thorough counseling. These findings underscore the importance of integrating genetics providers into perinatal postmortem healthcare teams.
Kember, A. J.; Ritchie, L.; Zia, H.; Elangainesan, P.; Gilad, N.; Warland, J.; Taati, B.; Dolatabadi, E.; Hobson, S.
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We completed a video-based, four-night, in-home, level 3 sleep apnea study of healthy, low-risk pregnant participants and their bed partners in order to characterize sleep physiology in the third trimester of pregnancy. Demographic, anthropometric, and baseline sleep health characteristics were recorded, and the NightOwl home sleep apnea test device was used to measure sleep breathing, posture, and architecture parameters. Symptoms of restless legs syndrome were elicited in the exit interview. Forty-one pregnant participants and 36 bed partners completed the study. Bed partners had a significantly higher prevalence of sleep apnea than their pregnant co-sleepers (31% vs. 5.9%). Bed partners also had more severe sleep apnea than their pregnant co-sleepers, and this persisted on an adjusted analysis for baseline differences in factors known to increase risk of sleep apnea. In pregnant participants, increasing gestational age was found to be protective against mild respiratory events but not more severe events. While the correlation between STOP-Bang score and measures of sleep apnea severity was weak, an affirmative response to the witnessed apneas item on the STOP-Bang questionnaire was a strong predictor of more severe sleep apnea for all participants. Smoking history also increased sleep apnea risk. Pregnant participants had lower sleep efficiency and longer self-reported sleep onset latency. Restless legs syndrome was experienced by 39.5% of the pregnant participants but no bed partners. From a sleep breathing perspective, people with healthy, low-risk pregnancies have better sleep than their bed partners despite lower sleep efficiency and higher rates of restless legs syndrome.
Bashynska, V.; Zahorodnia, O.; Borysovych, Y.; Zaplatnikov, Y.; Vasilyeva, V.; Arefiev, I.; Darvishov, N.; Osychanska, D.; Karapetov, A.; Melnychuk, O.; Boiko, O.; Zil'berblat, G.; Turos, O.; Prokopenko, I.; Kaakinen, M.
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Background: Substance use disorders (SUDs), including alcohol and drug dependence, and smoking, pose a public health threat with their high prevalence and comorbidity with other diseases, and contribution to mortality. SUDs are highly correlated, and their genetic background is shared to some degree. Objectives: We aimed to investigate the genetic associations of previously reported loci for a wide range of SUDs in an unstudied Ukrainian population. Methods: We collected data from 595 individuals (339 women, 253 men), including 321 participants from two rehab centres. Based on clinical review and questionnaire data we defined drug dependence, alcohol dependence, alcohol abuse, binge drinking, smoking, opiate, amphetamine, cannabis, and hallucinogen use, along with several intermediary alcohol use and smoking variables considering the amount of use and the level of dependence. We genotyped COMT-rs4680, ADH1B-ADH1C-rs1789891, and HTR2A-rs6313, and applied logistic and ordered logistic regression assuming an additive inheritance model, controlling for the recruitment group, other substance uses, age, and sex, in the association analyses. Results: We replicate (P<0.05) the associations at COMT-rs4680 with smoking status (OR[95% CI]=1.56[1.01-2.41], P=0.047) and heaviness (1.37[1.04-1.80], P=0.026), and at ADH1B-ADH1C-rs1789891 and HTR2A-rs6313 with alcohol dependence (1.69[1.03-2.76], P=0.038 and 0.66[0.47-0.92, P=0.016], respectively). Furthermore, we provide evidence for an association at HTR2A-rs6313 with hallucinogen use (0.58[0.35-0.98], P=0.040). Conclusion: In this study on multiple SUDs we shed light on the genetic background of SUDs in Ukrainians and provide further evidence that variation at COMT is mainly associated with smoking, at ADH1B-ADH1C with alcohol-related variables, whereas HTR2A is a more general SUD-associated locus.
Pozo, M.; Pape, A.; Locke, B.; Pettine, W. W.
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Timely identification of intensive care unit (ICU) patients likely to exit the unit can support anticipatory workflows such as chart review, eligibility screening, and patient outreach prior to transfer. Most ICU discharge prediction studies report discrimination and calibration, but these metrics do not quantify the decision consequences of acting on predictions. Using adult ICU admissions from MIMIC-IV, we represented each ICU stay as a sequence of daily clinical summaries and trained logistic regression, random forest, and XGBoost models to predict next day ICU transfer. Models achieved ROC AUC of 0.80-0.84 with differing calibration. We evaluated decision utility using decision curve analysis (DCA), where positive predictions trigger proactive review. Across thresholds, model guided strategies outperformed review-all, review-none, and a simple clinical rule. To translate net benefit into implementable operations, we modeled a clinical trial recruitment workflow with an 8 hour daily time constraint, incorporating chart review and consent effort. At a feasible operating threshold (0.23), the model flagged [~]23 charts/day and yielded [~]1.23 enrollments/day under conservative eligibility and consent assumptions. These results demonstrate that DCA provides a transparent framework for determining when ICU transfer predictions are worth using and how thresholds should be selected to align with real world workflow constraints. Data and Code AvailabilityThis research has been conducted using data from MIMIC-IV. Researchers can request access via PhysioNet. Implementation code is available upon request.
Hones, G. S.; Liao, X.-H.; Mahler, E. A.; Herrmann, P.; Eckstein, A.; Fuhrer, D.; Castillo, J. M.; Chiang, J.; Vincent, A. L.; Weiss, R. E.; Dumitrescu, A. M.; Refetoff, S.; Moeller, L. C.
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BackgroundHeterozygous c.283+1G>A and c.283G>A variants in the THRB gene, encoding for thyroid hormone receptor (TR){beta}1 and {beta}2, lead to autosomal dominant macular dystrophy (ADMD). We report the detailed clinical characterization of two first-degree relatives with ADMD, heterozygous for THRB c.283+1G>A, and an unrelated ADMD patient with a novel variant, c.283G>C. The genomic and molecular consequences of both variants were studied. MethodsgDNA and mRNA were obtained from leukocytes. Clinical characterization included biochemistry, bone density and body composition, ECG, echocardiography, ultrasound, audiometry and color-vision. In vitro assays investigated TR function and DNA binding. ResultsThe patients manifested no resistance to thyroid hormone beta (RTH{beta}) and had normal FT4 and TSH. Detailed studies in two patients showed no goiter, tachycardia, hypercholesterinemia or hepatic steatosis. Hearing was not impaired. Both had impaired color vision and reduced bone density. RT-PCR from all three patients revealed skipping of exon 4 exclusive to TR{beta}1, producing a deletion of 87 amino acids in the N-terminal domain (TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD). In vitro, DNA-binding affinity of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD to DR4-TRE with or without RXR was comparable to TR{beta}1WT. Surprisingly, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD was transcriptionally twice more active than TR{beta}1WT with a similar EC50 for T3, demonstrating gain-of-function of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. THRA expression in leukocytes was increased by 3-fold compared to unrelated controls and different from RTH{beta} patients. ConclusionThese THRB splice site variants produce TR{beta}1 exon 4 skipping, resulting in a gain-of-function mutant, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. This explains the dominant ADMD phenotype devoid of RTH{beta} and suggests a TR{beta}1 gain-of-function syndrome.